Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.039619 0.042793 0.046127 0.049895 0.054041 0.058471 0.063572
2025-05-04 0.034399 0.038857 0.043799 0.049706 0.056604 0.064438 0.074058
2025-05-11 0.030902 0.036087 0.042074 0.049541 0.058671 0.069553 0.083626
2025-05-18 0.028248 0.033873 0.040580 0.049243 0.060243 0.073891 0.092336
2025-05-25 0.026235 0.032169 0.039444 0.049122 0.061823 0.078149 0.101096
2025-06-01 0.024308 0.030376 0.037990 0.048382 0.062415 0.081020 0.108100
2025-06-08 0.022580 0.028686 0.036507 0.047426 0.062548 0.083168 0.114147
2025-06-15 0.021259 0.027423 0.035470 0.046944 0.063220 0.086008 0.121304
2025-06-22 0.020112 0.026308 0.034538 0.046506 0.063865 0.088783 0.128512
2025-06-29 0.018929 0.025067 0.033349 0.045604 0.063738 0.090364 0.133954
2025-07-06 0.018329 0.024591 0.033179 0.046123 0.065693 0.095136 0.144745
2025-07-13 0.017625 0.023924 0.032691 0.046129 0.066849 0.098727 0.153894
2025-07-20 0.017131 0.023536 0.032589 0.046711 0.068939 0.103957 0.166316
2025-07-27 0.016434 0.022819 0.031966 0.046458 0.069689 0.107073 0.175389
2025-08-03 0.015814 0.022182 0.031424 0.046288 0.070542 0.110392 0.185095
2025-08-10 0.015212 0.021542 0.030841 0.046009 0.071181 0.113370 0.194424
2025-08-17 0.014695 0.021005 0.030384 0.045897 0.072075 0.116825 0.204941
2025-08-24 0.014075 0.020282 0.029605 0.045215 0.071947 0.118454 0.212068
2025-08-31 0.013448 0.019523 0.028735 0.044333 0.071412 0.119295 0.217692
2025-09-07 0.012961 0.018961 0.028149 0.043889 0.071606 0.121464 0.226178
2025-09-14 0.012512 0.018440 0.027605 0.043485 0.071839 0.123705 0.235010
2025-09-21 0.011998 0.017796 0.026835 0.042653 0.071243 0.124320 0.240423
2025-09-28 0.011786 0.017625 0.026826 0.043132 0.073067 0.129715 0.256752